The first question is will Latinos compound their recent increases in population to make their presence known at the polls? They’ve let themselves down recently, as in 2010 when they sat back and allowed the Republicans to take over the House, although they did win the Governorships in
Nevada, New Mexico and . Florida
But a Pew Research study in 2010 found that 44 percent of Hispanic Republicans planned to vote compared to only 28 percent of Hispanic Democrats. When it is clear that the GOP still views Latinos in a negative light, it is hard to understand these figures. Have they learned a lesson with the recent continued rhetoric on immigration reform from the right?
There are over 50 million Hispanics in the
and those who are citizens will represent 10 percent of the adult population by the 2012 election, according to Hispanic News. With over 60 percent earning incomes of over $35,000, around 44 percent are in the income category that Democrats will probably most appeal to. But a study by the Center for Immigration Studies says partisanship remains strong regardless of economic standing. As an average, Dems have a 20.5 point advantage over Republicans. U.S.
Following this same study, Democrats have a whopping 32 point lead with college-educated Latinos. And the longer these folks are in the country, the stronger they lean to the left. But Hispanic News tells us that even with a rapidly growing population, Latinos still don’t register to vote like Whites and Blacks. Much of this can be attributed to the bigoted anti-immigrant laws passed recently in
Arizona and . Even the legals are still skeptical of the likes of a Joe Arpaio. ( Alabama ’s Sheriff who regularly intimidates and arrests immigrants) Arizona
Only around 60 percent of Hispanic citizens are registered to vote, compared to 70 percent of Blacks, 74 percent of Whites. The HN site estimates that 21.5 million Latino citizen adults will be eligible to vote in 2012, leaving over 8 million to get registered. However, this could all change with President Obama’s recent deportation policy to concentrate now on criminals. It helps relieve law enforcement as well as recognizing the fact that some of the migrants caught in raids like those of Arizona Sheriff Arpaio are honest working individuals.
The 3 states up for grabs, as reported by The Hill’s Lederman are
Arizona, Florida and . Nevada , with a Latino population of 1,895,149 in 524,806 households is looking much better since the anti-immigration bigot, State Sen. Russell Pearce lost his seat in a recall. Also, former U.S. Surgeon General Richard Carmona, an Independent but loyal to Democrats, will run to take over Republican Jon Kyl’s Senate seat. And one prominent state Republican has said that based on his pissing off Hispanics, Romney would be lucky to get 9 percent of the Latino vote. Arizona
The question is, do even the Dems have the time and money to devise separate campaigns? U.S. Sen. Bill nelson (D) will likely be running against Republican Connie Mack, whose criticism of
’s immigration crackdown could garner Latino votes. Total Hispanic population is 4,223,806 in 1,422,496 households. Arizona
The only state of the three not included in the