Women voters will not "skip" but they will "flip" on Donald Trump in November

Democratic strategist Celinda Lake is warning Democrats against "complacency" leading up to the midterms in November, and past that into 2028. Here's her take...

"Republicans still have a massive war chest, Trump loyalists are still winning big, and redistricting efforts are likely to benefit the GOP."

Lake says the expected midterm "blowout " could disappear in this mode of "complacency," this term defined as...

"a feeling of quiet pleasure or security, often while unaware of some potential danger, defect, or the like; self-satisfaction or smug satisfaction with an existing situation, condition, etc."

Taken from the above, describing Democrats perfectly, are "unaware" and "smug satisfaction with an existing situation, condition, etc." Remember Debbie Wasserman Schultz, the DNC head during Hillary Clinton's run for the White House in 2016? Wasserman Schultz not only helped tank Clinton's run but she was apparently sitting around on a Florida beach while Republicans took over state legislatures and governors' offices throughout the country.

I have never seen such contentment in a party that has been struggling for years to find a

Debbie Wasserman Schultz

leader, something they should have recognized when Hillary went down the tube. And the old-line Dems received a harsh wake-up call when Zohran Mamdani, A Democratic Socialist, won the mayoral slot in New York city, and then three of his endorsed candidates won their primaries. Here's the scenario...

"Inside a Brooklyn industrial garage turned underground event venue, local leaders of the Democratic Socialists of America urged hundreds of mostly young people last month to avoid complacency."

There's that word again, complacency and you can be assured, the Progressives are not complacent, with their recent wins in mentioned New York, but also in Denver and Philadelphia. This could and should shake up the Democrats that have slowly moved to moderacy over the years, forgetting their base of non-wealthy working Americans. Bernie Sanders has been preaching inequaltiy for his entire Senate candidacy and presidential run. That, I say, is Democratic Socialism, and America had better get used to it.

And looking to the right, one three-time Trump voter said he was "confused and disappointed," and when asked if he feels richer or poorer since Trump took office, that he feels “poorer.” MS Now's Katy Tur asked former Gov. Pat McCrory (R-NC) what he thought of the governor's comment...

“The disappointing thing is not him getting rich,” McCrory told Tur. “The disappointing thing is he got rich on the backs of people who are getting ripped off on high commissions, because that's how they're making most of their money — on the trading of Bitcoin.

Trump hoarding billions in bitcoin

Ah yes, cryptocurrency, the latest area Donald Trump has turned his corruptive attention to, although artificial intelligence (AI) seems to be the new area he is engrossed in most recently. Trump is the epitome of the saying, 'Go where the money leads you.'

And then Celinda Lake, from The Hill, says that Republicans still have a massive war chest to work with. On the other side of the aisle...

"Democrats are significantly trailing Republicans in national party committee funding ahead of the 2026 midterms, with the DNC reporting about $14.8 million cash on hand compared to the RNC's $125 million war chest. However, many individual Democratic candidates remain highly competitive by out-raising their opponents in key battleground races."

Lake says the Democrats should be worried, even with Donald Trump's abysmal ratings. She says the Iran War debacle could help Republicans in November, but states the Dems cannot...

...rely on Trump administration “missteps” to take back control of Congress in November, but rather must “swell” their turnout at the ballot box.

Lake reports, that turnout relies on women voters — and specifically, those women she calls “skippers” and “flippers.” OK, let's get down to what the headline portends, who are these two categories so important to the left...

"Skippers are Democratic voters who did not turn out in 2024. Flippers are disaffected Republicans who could choose to vote Democratic." 

Here's the scenario...

“Trump has a serious problem when it comes to women’s votes,” says Lake. Citing a recent New York Times-Siena poll, she notes that nearly two-thirds (66 percent) of women disapprove of Trump’s performance. Another poll showed Democrats with a 21-point lead among women over Republicans. And 60 percent of young women disapprove of Trump as well.

Lake mentions an analysis done by her team showing specific GOP flipping around the country in numbers that are huge, like Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, could have made a difference in electing Harris. Lake concludes with...

“We need to reach and persuade these women to turn out, especially if the Iran war actually ends and gas prices fall,” she writes. “Democrats must do the work to mobilize skippers and create flippers. If we want to lock up a victory in November, these women hold the keys.”

In the latest figures from the League of Women Voters, 91.3 million women voted in 2024. Here are some interesting stats on women voters...

• white, non-Hispanic women voted in the highest numbers
• women of color are significantly more likely to be impacted by suppressive anti-voter policies
• Women ages 25-64 cast the most votes
• young voters (aged 18-24) cast the fewest

According to data from the Pew Research Center, 51% of women lean Democratic compared to 44% who lean Republican.

These are the numbers...now we'll see what the Democrats do with them for November.